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Empire desk · Solana

Gubbins Gambles

Gubbins Gambles follows KOTH on Solana: every alert live, the numbers behind them, and the checks that come before any trade.

About this desk

A KOTH alert means a launch took the top slot on the pump.fun board.

On Solana, a curve that completes tells you demand existed. It does not tell you who holds the supply. Gubbins Gambles pairs every KOTH print with a look at holders and liquidity.

As a rule, launch-stage tokens change fastest. Liquidity is thin, holders are few and one wallet can move the chart. Gubbins Gambles reads each KOTH alert as a starting point for checks, never as a verdict.

One habit: Compare market cap with liquidity. A small pool under a large cap means a thin exit. Check the top ten holders, the share held by the deployer and whether liquidity is locked or burned before anything else.

Right now on Solana

Loading live KOTH alerts…

Screen: market cap at least $10.0K, at least 100 holders. Charts open on GMGN.

How Gubbins Gambles filters

Gubbins Gambles does not show every KOTH alert. It applies one fixed screen, and the live board above uses the same rule:

  • market cap at least $10.0K
  • at least 100 holders

Checked against the latest 48 alerts in the lane (about 36 hours): 0 passed. 29 out of 48 alerts showed a pool smaller than a tenth of the cap — a warning sign on its own. Median concentration in the lane: 0 % of supply in the top ten wallets.

None of the recent alerts passed at build time, so the board may show a wider view until new alerts qualify.

Values measured on 2026-09-23 from the Empire feed. The screen is a filter, not a recommendation.

Dated examples from the network

TokenChainFirst alert capTracked capMultipleReport
HeeHawSOL$54K$1000K19x2026-09-06
PolycatSOL$25K$430K17x2026-08-24
GrokBotSOL$70K$4400K63x2026-08-24
FrugSOL$29K$551K19x2026-08-26

Historic examples only. Each multiple compares the reported market cap with the first alert. Many other alerts in the same period lost value.

Recorded alerts

Gubbins Gambles's lane log for 2026-09-23. Each line is one alert as the feed recorded it; what happened next is on the chart.

  • BOSS printed at 09:19 UTC with a $215.4K market cap and $7.0K in the pool, 4 holders.
  • SPL printed at 07:19 UTC with a $137.3K market cap and $7.1K in the pool, 2 holders.
  • 03:13 UTC · GrenCAT entered the lane at $55.5K; pool depth $7.1K.
  • 21:28 UTC · COPPERINU entered the lane at $69.9K; pool depth $7.5K.
  • PBC alerted at 20:32 UTC. Market cap $149.1K, liquidity $7.3K, +1.5 % over the prior hour, 7 holders.
  • STARLINK printed at 03:51 UTC with a $85.1K market cap and $6.7K in the pool, 5 holders.
  • Allergy alerted at 02:43 UTC. Market cap $51.1K, liquidity $7.1K, 0.0 % over the prior hour, 7 holders.

Recorded values, not live prices. Charts open on GMGN with the publisher's referral code.

7-day record

64 %dead in 24 h
2 %2x in 24 h
59tokens measured
0 %5x in 24 h

Measured window: 7 days, 59 tokens. 2x within a day: 2 %. 5x within a day: 0 %. Dead within a day: 64 %, usually after about 0.2 h. All Solana topics together: 25 % reached 2x. With 95 % confidence this lane did worse than the rest of Solana on the 2x measure, which is why the checks matter more here.

Source: Blackhat alert scoreboard, 7-day window of mature alerts (older than 24 h), updated 2026-09-23. Full scoreboard.

Guides for this lane

If you follow @gmgnxsolkoth, these guides explain the checks behind it.

Join the channels

Telegram is where every KOTH alert lands first. These are the verified routes for Gubbins Gambles.

@gmgnxsolkothEvery KOTH alert on Solana posts here first.
@gmgnxsolgraduatedA token has just completed its bonding curve and now trades in an open pool: the Graduated channel.
Open SOLANA MainThe verified Solana main group with all alert lanes.
Add Launches folderImports the related Empire channels as a folder.
Solana channel folderThe full Solana channel set in a single Telegram folder.
@gmgnx_chatTalk to other members and the team.

Our method

Run these on every contract, in this order.

Step 1

Copy the full contract address from the alert, never the ticker.

Step 2

Decide your exit before you enter, including the price where you are wrong.

Step 3

Use an amount you can lose completely without stress.

Step 4

Compare volume with liquidity and holder growth.

Step 5

Look again after an hour, because early data on thin tokens shifts quickly.

Step 6

Check the first minutes for same-block buys from linked wallets.

FAQ

What is Gubbins Gambles?

It is one of the Empire's public desks. It watches KOTH alerts on Solana, prints them live and explains how to check each one.

How often does a KOTH alert reach 2x?

In the last 7 measured days, 2 % of KOTH alerts on Solana reached 2x within 24 hours (59 tokens). The same share can be very different next week.

What does 'dead' mean on the scoreboard?

Dead means -80 % from the alert market cap, a cap under $5K, or a drained pool.

How do I get these alerts on my phone?

Join the @gmgnxsolkoth channel on Telegram. It posts every KOTH alert as it happens.